An exciting rematch between light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira and Jiri Prochazka headlines Saturday’s UFC 303 card from Las Vegas. While a fight between two of the most action-oriented fighters in the heavier weight classes may get fans blood pumping, it was quite the journey to the two big men agreeing to step in the Octagon.
UFC 303 was originally planned to feature Conor McGregor’s first fight since suffering a broken leg in his rematch with Dustin Poirier in 2021. Unfortunately, a broken toe forced McGregor out of his fight with Michael Chandler just weeks ahead of the event, leaving UFC matchmakers scrambling to find a solid replacement for the International Fight Week card.
They got the job done with Pereiria and Prochazka, who first met in November 2023, with Pereira scoring a second-round stoppage. That fight was Prochazka’s first since returning from an injury that forced him to vacate the light heavyweight title. Both have gone on to pick up a win, with Pereira knocking out former light heavyweight champ Jamahal Hill and Prochazka outslugging Aleksandar Rakic, both at UFC 300.
The co-main event also went through a major transformation, originally featuring Hill vs. Khalil Rountree before a series of injuries to those fighters, as well as replacements, led to the fight eventually becoming Anthony Smith vs. Roman Dolidze.
In response, the UFC booked a new co-main event featuring featherweight contenders Diego Lopes and Brian Ortega, with the winner moving closer to a future shot at the 145-pound title.
With so much happening on Saturday night, let’s take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds before we get to our staff predictions and picks for the PPV portion of the festivities.
UFC 303 fight card, odds
Alex Pereira (c) -150 vs. Jiri Prochazka +125, light heavyweight title
Diego Lopes -145 vs. Brian Ortega +120, featherweights
Roman Dolidze -145 vs. Anthony Smith +120, light heavyweights
Macy Chiasson -110 vs. Mayra Bueno Silva -110, women’s bantamweights
Ian Machado Garry -155 vs. Michael Page +130, welterweights
Joe Pyfer -300 vs. Marc-Andre Barriault +240, middleweights
Andre Fili -235 vs. Cub Swanson +195. featherweights
Charles Jourdain -115 vs. Jean Silva -105, featherweights
Gillian Robertson -180 vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez +155, women’s strawweights
Payton Talbott -1600 vs. Yanis Ghemmouri +800, bantamweights
Martin Buday -270 vs. Andrei Arlovski +220, heavyweights
Rei Tsuruya -470 vs. Carlos Hernandez +350, flyweights
Ricky Simon -250 vs. Vinicius Olivera +205, bantamweights
With such a massive main event on tap, the crew at CBS Sports went ahead with predictions and picks for the main card. Here are your pick makers: Brent Brookhouse (Combat sports writer), Brian Campbell (Combat sports writer), Shakiel Mahjouri (writer), Michael Mormile (producer) and Brandon Wise (senior editor).
UFC 303 picks, predictions
Campbell Brookhouse Mahjouri Mormile Wise Pereira vs. Prochazka Pereira Pereira Pereira Pereira Prochazka Lopes vs. Ortega Lopes Ortega Lopes Ortega Ortega Dolidze vs. Smith Smith Smith Dolidze Dolidze Smith Chiasson vs. Bueno Silva Bueno Silva Bueno Silva Bueno Silva Chiasson Chiasson Garry vs. Page Garry Page Garry Page Garry
Pereira vs. Prochazka
Campbell: While their first meeting was a predictably wild affair with both landing big shots, the speed and technical precision of Pereira’s left hook remains a problem for everyone he steps into the cage with. In the case of Prochazka, his defensive liabilities and often reckless style make it an even bigger one. Both fighters will be making 77-day turnarounds from their respective wins at UFC 300 in April, which doesn’t provide much of an advantage either way. Pereira’s two broken toes don’t appear to be holding him back, even if his appearance at UFC 303 only came to be after Conor McGregor broke his own pinky toe and needed to pull out. Pereira is operating at the peak of his powers and appears to be even better as a light heavyweight than he was making the difficult cut down to 185 pounds.
Brookhouse: What reason is there to expect this fight to play out differently than the first meeting? Prochazka is incredible to watch for the exact reasons Pereira is a terrible opponent for him. Prochazka is defensively wide-open and operates with a similarly wide-open aggression. That’s just a bad combination against a fighter like Pereira, who has pinpoint striking as well as brutal power. Prochazka could try and take a wrestling-first approach, but that’s not his bread and butter and I’m not sure that’s a recipe for guaranteed success against Pereira now that he’s had years to learn takedown defense and enough skills to survive and get back to his feet when the fight does hit the floor. Expect a wild five to 10 minutes before Pereira lands the shot that signals the beginning of the end.
Lopes vs. Ortega
Brookhouse: There are so many factors that make this a hard fight to pick. Both men are coming in on short notice, for starters. Both are also not great at defending incoming attacks while being able to get their own dynamic attacks going. Lopes is on a hell of a roll, but Ortega is used to the big stage. Yes, Ortega took some damage against Yair Rodriguez earlier this year but taking damage is part of his game, for better or worse. If Ortega can survive the first-round blitz, I think he takes over the fight in the second and third, but I say this with little confidence.
Mahjouri: There is no way this fight will be boring. Ortega and Lopes are dynamic, offense-oriented fighters who wield knockout power and exciting submission games. It’s a toss-up stylistically. Ortega has the advantage of high-level experience.
UFC 303 predictions — Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka 2: Fight card, odds, preview, prelims, expert picks
