As 2025 wraps up, most people are preparing for holiday dinners, travel plans, and regrettable gift receipts. But boxing fans? They’re getting ready for something far more chaotic — the Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua spectacle on Netflix on Dec. 19.
Based on the betting markets, sportsbooks seem convinced this fight might not last long enough for viewers to settle into their seats. FanDuel and OddsChecker both opened the vault this week, and the numbers are wild enough to make calculators file for overtime.
FanDuel’s latest lines set the tone, projecting a short, violent encounter with a menu of round props, knockout markets, and alternate totals that read like a choose-your-own-disaster novel.
Meanwhile, OddsChecker — compiling odds from Bet365, William Hill, BetMGM, Paddy Power, Sky Bet and more — tells the same story with even stronger conviction. Between the U.S. and UK markets, the global consensus is clear: one fighter is expected to deliver damage, and the other is hoping to survive long enough to swing back.
Moneyline Odds
FanDuel
Jake Paul: +700
Anthony Joshua: -1300
OddsChecker (UK Books)
Anthony Joshua: 1/9 to 1/14
Jake Paul: 6/1 to 17/2
Draw: 20/1 to 33/1
Across all major books, Joshua is priced as a near-certainty. Paul, on the other hand, is being treated like a scratch-off ticket with inspirational messaging.
Method of Victory
FanDuel
Paul by KO/TKO: +1000
Paul by decision: +1400
Joshua by KO/TKO: -425
Joshua by decision: +500
OddsChecker
Joshua by decision or technical decision: 5/1
Paul by decision or technical decision: 17/1
The shared theme: if this goes to the scorecards, sportsbooks will be shocked.
Round Betting
FanDuel Round Odds for Jake Paul
Round 1: +5000
Round 2: +6000
Round 3: +6000
Round 4: +6500
Round 5: +7500
Round 6: +8000
OddsChecker Round Odds for Anthony Joshua
Round 1: 14/5
Round 2: 18/5
Round 3: 13/2
Round 4: 11/1
Round 5: 18/1
Round 7: 40/1
Round 8: 55/1
OddsChecker Round Odds for Jake Paul
Round 3: 70/1
Round 4: 80/1
Round 5: 100/1
Round-specific odds across both platforms share one undeniable trend: oddsmakers expect Joshua to put this fight away well before the halfway point.
Total Rounds & Round-Start Props (FanDuel)
Over 2.5: -118
Under 2.5: -112
Fight to Start a Specific Round:
Start Round 3: Yes -155 / No -105
Start Round 5: Yes +155 / No -240
Start Round 7: Yes +240 / No -370
FanDuel is essentially asking bettors: How brave do you feel about the fight lasting longer than a movie trailer?
Knockdown Markets (FanDuel)
To be knocked down:
Paul: -430
Joshua: +520
Both fighters knocked down: +950
Total Knockdowns:
1+: -700
2+: +105
3+: +500
4+: +2200
Jake Paul Knockdowns Landed:
1+: +500
2+: +1900
3+: +7000
Anthony Joshua Knockdowns Landed:
1+: -450
2+: +145
3+: +650
4+: +2700
This is where the books stop being subtle. FanDuel’s knockdown board practically screams,
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Betting Odds: Here’s What They Show
